The relationship between surgeon case load and revision rates in total hip arthroplasty: Evidence from the Swiss National Joint Registry

DOI: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.57187/s.3850

Andreas Ladurnera, Karlmeinrad Giesingera, Bernhard Josta, Vilijam Zdravkovica

Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, Kantonsspital St. Gallen, St.Gallen, Switzerland

Summary

STUDY AIMS: Higher surgeon volume has been correlated with improved therapy outcomes following total hip arthroplasty, and many countries have implemented minimum volume standards as a precondition for claiming reimbursement. However, there are large differences between healthcare systems worldwide and the applicability of international studies to a particular local healthcare environment may be limited. The aim of this study was to assess the relationship between surgeon case load (= number of procedures per year) and short-term revision rates (within two years of the index procedure) in patients undergoing primary total hip arthroplasty for hip osteoarthritis in a nationwide, registry-based study. In addition, the effects of increasing minimum volume standard thresholds on the potential reduction of the revision burden was simulated.

METHODS: All patients registered in the Swiss National Joint Registry (SIRIS) for undergoing primary total hip arthroplasty for hip osteoarthritis between 2015 and 2021 were considered. Patients were aggregated according to the lead surgeon’s individual code. Surgeons lacking five years of uninterrupted practice were excluded. Multiple logistic and bivariate multinomial regressions were employed to model the odds of revision surgery (overall and for specific diagnoses) as a function of surgeon case load. Two-year revision rates, the proportional reduction of the revision burden and the number of patients hypothetically needing treatment reassignment to higher-volume surgeons were simulated for increasing minimum volume standard thresholds.

RESULTS: In total, 74,565 total hip arthroplasty procedures performed by 384 surgeons were assessed. The mean surgeon case load was 28.7 total hip arthroplasties / year (min/max: 1.8/269.1; median: 18.1). The average overall 2-year revision rate in the observation period was 2.25%. A higher surgeon case load was associated with lower cumulative revision rates (revision for any reason, and revision due to infection, dislocation and femoral periprosthetic fracture). Overall revision rates of surgeons with a minimal case load of up to 10 / 20 / 50 total hip arthroplasties / year were 2.18% / 2.01 % / 1.70%, respectively. Implementation of a minimum volume standard of 10 / 20 / 50 total hip arthroplasties / year would reduce the overall 2-year revision rates by 3.2%, 10.5% and 23.8%, respectively, but also require that 5.1%, 18.1% and 53.8% of patients be reassigned to higher-volume surgeons instead of initially intended lower volume surgeons.

CONCLUSION: A higher surgeon case load independently predicts a lower overall 2-year revision rate in patients undergoing primary total hip arthroplasty for hip osteoarthritis in Switzerland. Implementation of a minimal case load has the potential to significantly reduce 2-year revision rates, at the cost of more patients needing to have their treatment reassigned.

Introduction

Total hip arthroplasty successfully reduces pain and restores joint function in end-stage osteoarthritis [1, 2]. Peri- and postoperative complications such as dislocation, loosening, periprosthetic fracture or infection occur infrequently, yet further reduction of these complications remains an important factor for enhancing patient outcome, reducing revision burden and improving the cost-effectiveness of the procedure [1]. The last point is especially important in light of the considerable healthcare expense associated with the increasing demand for total hip arthroplasty [3, 4].

Higher surgeon volume has been shown to be clearly associated with improved patient outcomes and decreased complications in hip replacement surgery [1, 2, 5–8]. This volume-outcome relationship has induced centralisation in medical care, and the introduction of minimum volume regulations [1, 8–13]. To date, minimum volume standards have been set normatively as a precondition for hospitals to perform procedures and to claim reimbursement in various countries, such as Australia, Canada, England, France, Germany, Italy and the USA [1, 6–8, 14].

Even though minimum volume standards have been proven effective in reducing revision rates following total hip arthroplasty, their strict application is often complicated due to limited practical applicability [1, 9, 15]. Raising the minimum volume standard progressively excludes low-volume surgeons (and low-volume hospitals) from the healthcare supply, which may challenge the ability of the remaining surgeons (or hospitals) to meet treatment need [11, 15]. It also causes a significant patient shift, meaning that patients from low-volume surgeons who may no longer offer certain treatments due to minimum volume standard regulations would need to find a new surgeon (i.e. they need to be reassigned). Hence patients may experience additional stress by having to potentially accept a longer wait or travel a greater distance to access high-volume healthcare providers, which in turn may interfere with the overall patient experience.

Due to large differences between the various national healthcare systems worldwide and differing minimum volume standard regulations, existing international studies may have limited validity and applicability to particular local healthcare environments.

The aim of this registry-based study was to assess the relation of surgeons’ case load (= number of procedures per year) on short-term revision rates (within two years of the index procedure) in patients undergoing primary total hip arthroplasty for hip osteoarthritis in Switzerland. In addition, the effects of increasing minimum volume standard thresholds on the potential reduction of revision burden was simulated.

The hypothesis was that the surgeons’ case load was inversely associated with the revision risk in patients undergoing primary total hip arthroplasty for hip osteoarthritis in Switzerland.

Materials and methods

Study design and data source

A retrospective study was conducted using data from the Swiss National Implant Registry (SIRIS). The registry was implemented in 2012 and collects data from all primary and revision hip arthroplasty procedures in Switzerland. The dataset includes patient characteristics (sex, age, height, weight, ASA score and Charnley score); diagnosis; type, date and technical aspects (surgical approach and positioning) of the procedure; surgeon; and clinic. The reported nationwide coverage of SIRIS for primary total hip arthroplasty was 98% in 2021 [16]. Consistency and completeness of the data are ascertained through regular validation tests. For this study, an anonymised dataset (irreversibly coded patient, surgeon and hospital identifications) containing information from all primary uncemented or hybrid (i.e. uncemented cup, cemented stem) total hip arthroplasties (equalling 98.5% of all total hip arthroplasties) between 2015 and 2021, was provided to the research group, following a formal request to the scientific advisory board of SIRIS and their approval. This study was approved by the local ethics committee, which issued a waiver because the dataset was anonymised.

Data extraction and surgeon eligibility criteria

The data extraction flowchart is depicted in figure 1. Only adult patients (³18 years) were considered. In order to ensure data consistency, subjects having undergone concomitant interventions at the time of index total hip arthroplasty were excluded, whereas those aged >100 years, those with BMI <12 or >60 or those with an ASA score >4 were removed for plausibility reasons. 

Figure 1Flowchart on data extraction and participant selection. OA: osteoarthritis; THA: total hip arthroplasty.

The surgeon’s case load was added as a numerical variable to each individual case. Surgeons’ case load was defined as the number of primary total hip arthroplasties performed by the individual surgeon per year, and represents the surgeon’s mean annual case load over the observational period. To ensure homogeneous and comparable surgeon case load information, only surgeons with uninterrupted practice of at least 5 years (within an observation period of 7 years) and a case load variance within the observation period of <1.0 were considered. Since this method of assessing surgeons’ case load has not been published before, a sensitivity analysis on the complete dataset was performed post-hoc in order to rule out any selection bias deriving from the application of our surgeon eligibility criteria.

Primary and secondary outcome parameters, main exposure variables

The primary outcome parameter was revision for any reason within two years of the index procedure, and the surgeons’ case load was the main predictor for assessing our primary outcome. The patient’s age and sex, BMI, ASA and the type of implant fixation were co-variates of interest. Secondary outcome parameters were revision for specific reasons, i.e. revision for infection, dislocation, periprosthetic fracture and aseptic loosening, for both the femoral and acetabular components.

Statistical analysis

All statistical analyses were performed using R (R: A language and environment for statistical computing, R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria). Descriptive statistics included means, standard deviations, ranges and proportions. Comparative statistics included the t-test and the chi-squared test. The confidence level for rejecting null hypotheses was set at 95% (p-value <0.05). Multiple logistic and bivariate multinomial regressions were employed to model the odds of revision surgery as a function of surgeon case load.

Simulation of minimum volume standard thresholds and their effect on patient reassignment

Using a numeric simulation, the effect of discrete minimum volume standard thresholds (i.e. 10, 20 and 50 total hip arthroplasties per surgeon per year) on total hip arthroplasty revision rates within two years of index procedure was explored. The portion of patients below each threshold was given the revision rate of remaining patients above the specific threshold, allowing the calculation and plotting of theoretical differences in revision rates for each particular threshold. As the minimum volume standard rose, low-volume surgeons would progressively lose the licence to perform total hip arthroplasty, and an increasing number of patients would need to find a new surgeon (i.e. they would need to be “reassigned”). In order to put this phenomenon into perspective, the number of patients needing treatment reassignment was calculated for each minimum volume standard threshold.

Results

Patient characteristics

A total of 74,565 eligible patients with a mean age of 68.8 years was identified (51.2% female). The sensitivity analysis showed that no relevant selection bias had been introduced through application of our surgeon eligibility criteria (figure 2). The surgical procedures in this cohort were performed by 384 surgeons. The mean surgeon case load was 28.7, ranging from 1.8 to 269.1. The mean 2-year revision rate in the cohort was 2.25%. Demographic data are presented in detail in table 1.

Figure 2Association between surgeon case load and 2-year revision rate, comparing the datasets before (RED) and after (BLACK) application of our surgeon eligibility criteria. The sensitivity analysis shows an association between both graphs, excluding any selection bias from the application of our eligibility criteria.

Table 1Demographics.

Cases (n) 74,565
Female 38,154 (51.2%)
Male 36,411 (48.8%)
Age, in years Mean (range) 68.8 (18–99)
Surgeons (n) 384
Surgeon case load Mean (range) 28.7 (1.8–269.1)
Median 18.1
2-year revision rate 2.25%

Primary outcome parameter and exposure variables

Using multiple logistic regression, surgeon case load was identified as a highly significant and independent predictor (p <0.001, odds ratio [OR] 0.995, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.994–0.996) of any-cause revision in patients undergoing primary total hip arthroplasty for hip osteoarthritis. Higher case load was associated with a lower 2-year revision rate, and a nearly linear correlation was found (figure 3). The patient’s morbidity state (p <0.001, OR 1.293) and BMI (p <0.001, OR 1.047) were identified as additional independent risk factors determining revision within two years, while the patient’s sex, age and the method of femoral fixation (uncemented vs hybrid) were not.

Figure 3Association between surgeon case load and 2-year revision rate.

Secondary outcome parameter

Multinomial bivariate regression revealed that higher surgeon case load was associated with lower risk of total hip arthroplasty revision due to infection, dislocation and femoral periprosthetic fracture. Revisions for acetabular periprosthetic fractures and loosening of the femoral or acetabular component were not associated with the surgeon case load (table 2).

Table 2Association between surgeon case load and total hip arthroplasty revision (revision for any reason and for infection, dislocation, periprosthetic fracture and aseptic loosening).

Reason for revision (Base: no revision) p value (surgeon case load) Odds ratio (95% CI)
Any reason <0.001 0.995 (0.994–0.996)
Infection <0.001 0.996 (0.995–0.997)
Dislocation <0.001 0.988 (0.986–0.990)
Periprosthetic fracture (femoral) <0.001 0.995 (0.994–0.996)
Periprosthetic fracture (acetabular) 0.55 0.998 (0.994–1.002)
Aseptic loosening (femoral) 0.78 1.000 (0.999–1.001)
Aseptic loosening (acetabular) 0.095 0.997 (0.997–0.999)

CI: confidence interval.

Simulation of minimum volume standard thresholds

Detailed information on the impact of a potential minimum case load on revision rates, the overall reduction of expected revisions and the number of patients needing treatment reassignment for each minimum volume standard threshold is provided in table 3 and figures 4 and 5. Implementation of a minimum volume standard threshold of 10 total hip arthroplasties / surgeon / year would only have a negligible impact on the 2-year revision rate (reduction from 2.25% to 2.18%) and avoid 3.2% of revisions. This effect was far more pronounced with higher minimum volume standard thresholds. A minimum case load of 50 total hip arthroplasties / surgeon / year would result in a 2-year revision rate of 1.7% (avoiding 23.8% of revisions), but at the cost of 53.8% patients needing treatment reassignment each year.

Table 3Impact of various minimum volume standard thresholds on 2-year revision rate, reduction of revision risk and percentage of patients needing treatment reassignment.

Minimum volume standard 2-year revision rate % reduction of revisions % patients reassigned
10 2.18% 3.2% 5.1%
20 2.01% 10.5% 18.1%
50 1.7% 23.8% 53.8%

Figure 4Estimated 2-year revision rates on implementation of minimum volume standard thresholds of 10, 20 or 50 total hip arthroplasties / surgeon / year.

Figure 5Estimated reduction of revision burden following implementation of minimum volume standard thresholds of 10, 20 or 50 total hip arthroplasties / surgeon / year (base: the total number of revisions without minimum volume standard implementation).

Discussion

The main finding of this study is that higher surgeon case load is associated with a substantially decreased risk of any-cause revision in patients undergoing primary total hip arthroplasty for hip osteoarthritis in Switzerland. The main strengths of the study are the large sample size and virtually complete registry coverage due to nationwide compulsory registration of total hip arthroplasty in the Swiss National Joint Registry (SIRIS). The results are representative of the practice of Swiss orthopaedic surgeons, and may primarily be used for planning or modification of minimum volume standards in Switzerland. However, these findings are probably applicable to other countries with similar healthcare systems. Our finding of a strong volume-outcome relationship in total hip arthroplasty is in line with the current literature [1, 2, 7, 17]. The lower overall revision risk resulted from fewer revisions due to dislocation, infection and femoral periprosthetic fractures. An increased risk of total hip arthroplasty dislocation has been reported in the literature for subjects operated on by low-volume surgeons. Ravi et al. [6] found that dislocation rates within two years of the index procedure were higher in total hip arthroplasty recipients whose surgeons had carried out fewer than 35 procedures per year than in those operated on by surgeons performing more than 35 total hip arthroplasties annually (1.9% vs 1.3%, p=0.006). Similarly, Battaglia et al. [18] summarised in a systematic review that a higher surgeon case load led to lower dislocation rates. Dislocation has been associated with component malpositioning [19, 20], and surgical outliers in implant positioning reportedly occur more commonly in total hip arthroplasties performed by low-volume surgeons [21], leading to the assumption that a higher case load could enable more accurate implant positioning.

Revision due to infection and periprosthetic fractures were also associated with a lower surgeon case load in our study. Mufarrih et al. [17] found a positive association between lower case load and higher risk of infection in total hip arthroplasty, but they had analysed the hospital case load rather than the surgeon case load. Siddiqi et al. [1] stated that low surgeon case load had the greatest link with early revisions due to infection after total hip arthroplasty, irrespective of the hospital volume, which is in line with our findings.

According to our results, implementing a minimum volume standard is a suitable measure for substantially decreasing revision rates following total hip arthroplasty. Unlike previous publications [6, 9], there was no inflection point in the volume / outcome curve in our study, meaning that no optimal threshold could be established to discriminate between low-volume and high-volume surgeons. This is potentially due to a different method of analysis. However, Sayers et al. also reported a linear decrease of the revision rate with increasing case load [11]. The lack of a numerically optimal threshold value was the reason for choosing arbitrary but pragmatic minimum volume standard thresholds in our simulation.

In general, minimum volume standard thresholds should aim to strike a balance, i.e. to achieve clinically meaningful improvements and applicability within a given healthcare environment without substantially interfering with the patients’ demand for geographically close and timely access to medical care. In our analysis, a minimum volume standard threshold of 20 total hip arthroplasties / year would lead to a 10.5% reduction in revisions within two years, which can be regarded as clinically relevant. These calculations do not include the positive effect that each specific minimum volume standard generates by the increased case load of the remaining licensed surgeons. It is of note that 18.1% of patients would need to be reassigned as an effect of this arbitrarily chosen minimum volume standard threshold. In a small country with a high density of orthopaedic surgeons per 1000 inhabitants, travelling distances are likely to remain a minor problem for patients, while the impact of minimum volume standards on the waiting time due to capacity issues of the remaining licensed surgeons warrants further research.

Limitations

This study has several limitations. From a methodological point of view, the causality between surgeon case load and revision rates is not irrefutably proven. The surgeon case load could be a reflection of each surgeon’s own skills. Potentially, physicians with better outcomes have a higher surgeon case load because patients seek out care at these more reputable surgeons. Inversely, surgeons with increased complication rates could opt to perform fewer total hip arthroplasties in response. It is important to acknowledge that several patient-, hospital- or surgeon-related factors throughout the pre-, peri- and postoperative pathway may interfere with the association found.

The minimum volume standard thresholds analysed in this study (10 / 20 / 50 total hip arthroplasties / year) were chosen arbitrarily. This was deemed adequate since the relationship between surgeon case load and revision rate was linear, and this practice was in line with current literature [22].

Furthermore, the 2-year revision rates analysed here represent only a short period within the expected total survival time, and the effect of surgeon case load on longer-term outcomes is unclear. However, previous research suggests that patients treated by low-volume surgeons are also at higher risk of complications occurring several years after the procedure [23].

Finally, our research focused on revision rates and did not assess other outcome quality indicators, like patient travel time, hospital characteristics (including hospital capacity), waiting times or patient-reported outcome quality indicators. Hence, the results of our study do not necessarily directly translate into an overall improved outcome quality for the patient.

Conclusion

Higher surgeon case load independently predicts a lower overall 2-year revision rate in patients undergoing primary total hip arthroplasty for hip osteoarthritis in Switzerland. Implementation of a minimum volume standard has the potential to reduce 2-year revision rates at the cost of a greater number of patients whose treatment needs to be reassigned.

Notes

No direct support for this project was received.

All authors have completed and submitted the International Committee of Medical Journal Editors form for disclosure of potential conflicts of interest. No potential conflict of interest related to the content of this manuscript was disclosed.

Andreas Ladurner, MD

Department of Orthopedics and Traumatology

Kantonsspital St. Gallen

Rorschacherstrasse 95

CH-9007 St. Gallen

andreas.ladurner[at]kssg.ch

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